What are some new betting trends in the English Premier League?
Betting on the Premier League offers the opportunity for you to make money while enjoying the show. And with a new EPL season upon us, enthusiastic bettors all around the world are getting ready to back their favorite team.
Football fans are actively flocking to online bookmakers to find Football betting tips for getting the best odds on the English Premier League.
However, betting on football isn’t always about getting the best Free Football Tips. Or about following the league, its outstanding players, skilled coaches, or excellent teams. The Premier League has seen some betting trends you may not know.
To succeed in betting on this league, you must understand the trends backing it. That is why in this article, we show you the new betting trends in the English Premier League.
New Betting Trends in the English Premier League
Every new Premier League season, bettors look out for football betting tips to start the new season. But, many of them forget that understanding the trends and how bettors’ behavior changes every season is just as important as getting a tip on who will win the game.
For this part, we examine 9 new betting trends in the Premier League that could improve your decision-making and understanding of the EPL.
1. Live Betting
As online sportsbooks become more technologically advanced, bettors have become aware of live sports, and as a result, increased their in-play sports betting. Many fans watch the Premier League and bet during the games, instead of before it starts.
This new betting style has also led to an influx of prop bets. First goalscorer betting, for example, is now one of the most popular bets amongst bettors. Bettors follow a player, even if they don’t support any of the teams playing.
Similarly, other markets like HT score and totals (total corners or total goals) are attracting more attention than they used to, thanks to live-betting.
Sportsbooks are gearing their promotions to suit bettors who love in-play betting. This means you’d see more weekly promos focused on the EPL live betting experience.
2. More Goals
Each Premier League season hosts 380 games, and for the past 6 years over 1000 goals have been produced by each season. Since 2007, the average is 1032 goals. Coming down to 2.7 goals a game.
This metric is important because it is relevant when you’re betting on football. The total goals market typically sets the over/under the mark at +/-2.5. And now that you know that the average goal a game is 2.7 you can make a guaranteed bet here.
Furthermore, minor changes to the Video Assistant Referee system consist of greater flexibility with offsides. The VAR is expected to add up to 25 more goals to the 2022 Premier League.
So, smart punters are likely to back more goals over fewer in the course of this season.
3. Less Yellow Cards
The 2020 Premier League season saw a drastic drop in the number of yellow cards issued across the 380 games. It reported the average yellow card bookings per game dropping by almost 0.7.
Players were wary of the VAR system which could turn a yellow card into a red one, hence the drop. This also means that actions that would bring about a booking are not being done.
The COVID-19 restrictions meant that most Premier League games of 2020, were played without fans. No spectators meant no tense atmosphere, and players were less likely to do something stupid and get a yellow card.
In 2022, bettors should however expect more yellow cards than in the 2020 season. But the cards won’t be as much as in 2018/19. The average will rise, but not over 3.00, which is a trend you can use to your advantage when checking yellow card props.
4. Comeback Wins
Comeback wins by failing teams are another Premier League betting trend, fans can expect to see this season.
The English Premier League has in the past led with comeback wins across major teams in the league.
In 2021, three out of the 10 fixtures played witnessed teams win the match after losing the opening goal.
Leicester lost the opening goal but beat Manchester United 4-2, Wolves scored thrice in the last 10 minutes to turn a 2-0 deficit into a 3-2 win. Tottenham played against Newcastle who scored after two minutes, but Spurs emerged 3-2 winners.
The same pattern can be seen with West Ham leading the league with two wins after conceding the first goal. They were set to face Tottenham, the kings of comebacks.
The odds were 11/1 for Hammers to beat Spurs after losing the first goal while the visiting team Spurs were 13/11 to lose the match.
5. Eventful Second-Half
10 fixtures for the 2021 Premier League season produced a total of 30 goals, and 19 of them happened after half-time. This continued a trend throughout 8 rounds of fixtures. For that season, 212 goals were scored and 60.4% of those goals were scored in the second half.
One of the most-watched fixtures then was between Liverpool and Manchester United. Liverpool led the league scoring 14 goals in the second half. Manchester was second with 11 goals scored after the interval.
6. Both Teams To Score
Newcastle and Crystal Palace were once fixed for a match for the 2021 EPL season. Newcastle needed 3 points to climb the league table, and only Norwich was below them.
Under their former manager, Steve Bruce, they weren’t winning but they entertained and both ends of the pitch scored goals. Out of 8 games they played, ‘both teams to score’ paid out 7 times including in a 3-2 home loss to Spurs.
On the other hand, half of Crystal Palace’s 8 games saw one goal for them and one for their opponents. They had 3 contests that saw BTTS.
During the match Between Newcastle and Crystal Palace, ‘both teams to score’ was available by 888 Sport. In a previous match between the teams, Palace won 2-1 at their home.
7. Successful Visiting Teams
Here are some statistics for you, during the 2020/2021 edition of the Premier League, visiting teams were more successful.
Visiting teams won 40% of the matches, while home teams won 37% of the time, with ties occurring only 23% of the time. Over 2.5 and BTTS happened in 48% of the matches played.
8. Home And Away Trends
Home and away trends are one of the trends you should pay attention to. Most teams play better in away matches, while others thrive in their home stadium.
In last year’s EPL season, Sheffield United struggled to survive at the top and is the worst team when playing at home. They won 1 game out of the 10 games they played at home.
Manchester United on other hand was their best when on the road. They had an 8-3-0 record to prove it.
9. 1st Half / 2nd Half Trends
Previous EPL stats for 2021, showed that Everton was a good bet to make at halftime. They were undefeated in 17 of 19 games at the end of the first half.
Aston Villa also played well during the first half, when playing away matches. They had a 5-4-2 record.
Bigger clubs, on the other hand, dominated the second halves of games. Tottenham however didn’t make this cut. Spurs lost 14 of the second halves of the 20 games they played.
10. Over / Under 2.5
Over / Under 2.5 odds are another betting trends in the English Premier League to watch out for. These odds made an appearance in last year’s EPL season.
Clubs like Leeds, Manchester United and West Ham score the most goals in their matches. Over/Under 2.5 has happened in over 60% of the matches played by these clubs.
Manchester City and Burnley score 2 goals or less in 7 out of 10 of their matches. Newcastle focuses on defense when playing away, 82% of their matches score 2 goals or less.
West Bromwich on the other hand, ended 73% of their last year matches with 3 or more goals when playing at home. One trend to note is that West Bromwich’s rivals score first against them in 16 out of 21 chances.
As you find more Football tips betting on the EPL, it is important that you monitor these new betting trends in the English Premier League. As they may benefit you as you build your bets this season.
Before you use the Football betting tips from a bookmaker, apply them after studying these trends.
Find the best Free Football Tips and predictions on the EPL season on Matchplug.